Name Institution Professor Date Part A Brexit at the first glance had negative consequences in the United Kingdom economy. However the economy of the United Kingdom has remained intact despite the fact that there were speculations by some economists that it would have negative consequences for the economy (Crafts 2016). Questions have been raised on how the United Kingdom will trade European Union. This is because it is not yet known what trade agreement the UK will strike with the EU. Brexit would be negative or positive depending on the stand the stand that the UK takes whether to be soft or hard. To look at the future impact of Brexit having a pessimistic approach will provide better focus (Sampson 2016). Looking at the GDP growth it will assist to focus on the short term and long term impact of Brexit on the UK's economy. The country has achieved not be supplying goods to the United Kingdom because of the trade barriers (Crafts 2016). Figure 2: Negative Supply Shock 1905050165 Conclusion Economic impacts of leaving the union are dictated by the policies that the UK will adopt following Brexit. Low trade between the UK and EU is likely to be experienced and it will cost the UK more than it gains from the European Union budget. Brexit's effect will have an effect on the trade and also affect contribution to the European Union budget. Works Cited Crafts Nicholas. "The Growth Effects of EU Membership for the UK: a Review of the Evidence." University of Warwick CAGE Working Paper 280 (2016). Booth S. "What would Brexit mean for immigration." Open Europe (2015). Portes Jonathan and Giuseppe Forte. "The economic impact of Brexit-induced reductions in migration." Oxford Review of Economic Policy 33.suppl_1 (2017): S31-S44. Morphet Janice. Beyond Brexit?: How to Assess the Uk’s Future. Policy Press 2017. [...]
PART A - Undertake research on the current state of the macroeconomy post Brexit. Using macroeconomic indicators explain if Brexit has had a positive OR negative effect on the macroeconomic position of the economy. Clearly reference any supporting evidence/quotes from the business press that upholds the position you are adopting. (20% marks) (focus on Trade shocks: external (AD and BT curve) and Supply shocks: external (AD, BT and ERU curve)) PART B - Using suitable frameworks of analysis (diagrams used in lectures) for the open economy model, discuss the future expected effects of Brexit on the macro-economy. Explain if your projections are largely optimistic OR pessimistic. (80% marks) The essay should outline: - Critically assess the problems facing policymakers in using stabilisation policy to achieve economic goals. - Formulate model-based approaches to the analysis of some open economy macroeconomic problems. - Independent research examining the simultaneous internal and external balance of the UK economy.