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# Probabilities and conditional probabilities analysis (Example)

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Courts’ Judgment Analysis Name: Course: Institutional Affiliation: Courts’ Judgment Analysis Introduction Courts are a very important part of the society and play a vital role in the dissemination of justice. Therefore the decisions that are made by the courts' system have a direct effect on society. Arcidiacono and Miller (2011) argue that the accuracy of the decisions that are made by the court judges are essential in ensuring justice to the persons who are part of the case. Once decisions are made at the lower courts one of the parties in the case can decide to appeal the decisions of the judges. The decision can either be overturned or upheld by the appellant courts. The analysis of the court's decisions can be done using the probabilities and conditional probabilities of the cases being appealed and the decisions either reversed or upheld. This article seeks to analyze decisions by different being reversed relative to the total number of cases that are brought before. The decisions by the judges in the common pleas court suffer the highest probability of being reversed. The probabilities and conditional probabilities are used in the measurement of the performance by the judges in the three types of courts. Marcot (2012) supports the use of probabilities in performance evaluation arguing it enables one to predict the future using the available data. References Arcidiacono P. &amp; Miller R. A. (2011). Conditional choice probability estimation of dynamic discrete choice models with unobserved heterogeneity. Econometrica  79(6) 1823-1867. Kim Y. Park J. Jung W. Jang I. &amp; Seong P. H. (2015). A statistical approach to estimating effects of performance shaping factors on human error probabilities of soft controls. Reliability Engineering &amp; System Safety  142 378-387. Marcot B. G. (2012). Metrics for evaluating performance and uncertainty of Bayesian network models. Ecological modeling  230 50-62. [...]

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Price \$25

Words 550

Pages 2

Completed in 15 days

Expert lynajames

## Client Review

great turnaround time, very thorough, great writer.

Positive
03.20.2018

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