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U.S. Future Involvement in Foreign Affairs

As before, national security, primarily due to the threat of international terrorism, will be one of the most important domestic political battles in the future, as well as fights against terrorism on the international level.

The future administrations will take a number of steps aimed at intensifying the fight against Islamic state on the territory of Iraq, but will not go to a full-fledged military operation on the ground with a large American military contingent. If there are no major terrorist attacks in the USA, the administration will probably not start a new military campaign in the Middle East.

US will maintain a moderately high level of political pressure on the official Syrian leadership, in part recognizing the validity of the actions of the Assad government against the IS and its status as a leading force in the territories under their control. However, Washington will oppose attempts to legitimize the status of Assad through elections.

The most important subject for US foreign policy in Asia Pacific in future will be the realization of Trans-Pacific Partnership Project. The US will continue to implement the TTP in its broad sense – not only as free trade agreement, but also as a space of common standards, principles of regulation in the trade and financial spheres as well as in the field of legal protection of copyright and intellectual property.

It is unlikely that Washington will pay considerable attention to the difficult issues in US-China relations, first of all territorial disputes in the South China Sea, as well as other contradictions between China and US allies.

Despite the fact that the United States will periodically remind of readiness to ensure the military security of the NATO countries, emphasizing the symbolic importance to cooperation with the countries of Eastern Europe and the Baltic States, attention of Washington to traditional military security of the allies won’t grow. A lot will depend on the nature of political relations with Russia.

At the same time, in the coming decades the so-called shale revolution in the United States will permanently save America from energy dependence and help to fully align the US trade balance, which is now heavily skewed in favor of imports, mainly of Chinese products. New technologies of increase of production of hydrocarbons will undermine the control of the OPEC for the price of black gold. This could lead to a collapse in oil prices and a strong negative effect on the economies that are dependent on exports of oil and gas.

As before, national security, primarily due to the threat of international terrorism, will be one of the most important domestic political battles in the future, as well as fights against terrorism on the international level.

Assignment ID
100000792
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CREATED ON
31 July 2016
COMPLETED ON
2 August 2016
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$41
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31 July 2016
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